Manipulation

Village strategy fork · early clerics → Osvald → first encounter

Ready to simulate.

First battle

Boost adjustment

First battle exit → Ambush tutorial checkpoint

Running limit · estimate

Second fight

LATEST SIMULATION

Detailed log

Throné · skip both cutscenes · English · 1× → 2× before the first attack

Run a simulation from Manipulation to populate this log.

Battle-entry CRT—

battle CRT draws ·

Your two-round routine

Enemies are numbered right to left: enemy 1 is on the right; enemy 2 is on the left.

Round 1: first party actor → enemy 1, 1 BP (two hits); second and third → enemy 2, no boost (one hit each).

Round 2: the two actors who hit enemy 2 use 2 BP on enemy 1 and enemy 2, in turn order. The first-round booster Defends if their turn occurs. All attacks use the default weapon.

Route diagnostics

First battle

Damage-less?

CRT after battle popup

advances since initial seed

Counter after popup

Checkpoint

CRT after checkpoint popup · expected

advances since initial seed

Second fight

Not reached

Mansion encounter

After Pirro

CRT after cutscenes · Eastern New Delsta

advances since initial seed

Highroad Escape

New Delsta Flats

CRT after loading

advances since initial seed

Flats escape

Abandoned Village return

CRT after returning to Flats

advances since initial seed

Cape Cold

CRT after loading Cape Cold

advances since initial seed

The earlier routine matched all 154 recorded CRT calls at seed 0 + 4929. The revised first-actor boost routine needs a live comparison. The earlier Throné damage discrepancy (33 predicted versus 31 reported) remains unresolved. Damage-less means a predicted victory with zero damage received; enemy turns that miss still count as turns in the detailed assessment.

RNG checkpoints

Command menus: after turn-start voice, before boosting. Ambush: open the path-action menu once, then skip the rejoin cutscene.

Checkpoint	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)	Draws since battle entry

Party after battle

Each party action shows its command-menu advance count from the initial seed, before boosting. Expand for CRT states, hits and resources. Damage rolls include overkill.

Opening order

Main-CRT calls through early clerics, Osvald recruitment and the first Snows encounter. Advance counts are measured from the initial seed.

Callback	Actor	From advance	To advance	Δ draws	Before CRT	After CRT

Second fight · Chapter 1

Second fight routine

Character	Round 1 · 0 BP	Round 2 · 2 BP
Throné	Darkest Night → right grunt	Darkest Night → middle leader
Pirro	Pierce Through → middle leader	Slice → left grunt
Scaracci	Axe → left grunt	Axe → right grunt

Opening order

Oresrush · Mother route, Partitio recruitment and Southern return

Route decisions

Stage	Callback	Subject	Result	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)	Draws since battle entry

Hikari · recruited, Chapter 1 skipped

After replacement and tutorials · field control restored

advances since initial seed

Character	Party	Level	EXP	JP

Recruit battle

Round	Actor	Action	Damage	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)

Recruitment decisions

Stage	Callback	Subject	Result	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)	Draws since battle entry

Ryu → Northern Ryu Sands → Canalbrine Bridge

Loaded area	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)	Entry counter

Loading decisions

Stage	Callback	Subject	Result	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)

Canalbrine Bridge · water encounter and Escape

Checkpoint	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)

Boarding decisions

Callback	Subject	Result	Advances since initial seed	CRT (hex)

Cape Cold · Mug

CRT after Mug · loot dismissed, field returned

advances since initial seed

Round	Actor	Action	Damage	Man HP left	Menu / action advances	CRT (hex)

FIELD RNG PREDICTOR

The next encounter

Continue into Underground Waterway from the frame after Throné’s opening battle.

Route frame

Run the opening battle to prepare its field frame.

Field initial seed Field advances since initial seedState immediately before the chosen starting point Starting point

Carries the final CRT state, existing counter, party and story progression into Underground Waterway.

Find map Map Active encounter zone Time / world state Main progress pointsGame's progress score; not a chapter number Party levelsOne to four travelers, e.g. 84,85,77,84

First encounter flag active Dashing Manually select from all zone IDs

Other CRT calls between reset and encounterWalking decrements the counter without drawing CRT. Enter any calls from other game activity; changing maps or resetting the counter requires a new prediction.

Equipment and support modifiers

Cait equipment bonus (points) Octopuff equipment bonus (points) Rare-enemy support bonus (points) Preemptive bonus (points) Surprise reduction (points) Counter support multiplier (%) Counter equipment multiplier (%)

Enter the aggregate effects from active equipment/supports. Two Cait Powders add 2 Cait points; More Rare Monsters adds 2 support points. Evasive Maneuvers sets the counter support multiplier to 50%.

The Throné frame applies before the next sewer story event. Custom area requires the current zone and progression. Predictions end after enemy selection, before enemy initialization and command-menu RNG.

Loading encounter data…

Manipulation

First battle

Boost adjustment

First battle exit → Ambush tutorial checkpoint

Running limit · estimate

Second fight

New Delsta steals

Mansion encounter escape → Pirro cutscene trigger

Pirro

Boost adjustment

Highroad Escape

New Delsta Flats entry → New Delsta Harbor

New Delsta Flats (after Harbor return) → Abandoned Village

New Delsta Flats (Abandoned Village exit) → Southern Cape Cold Snows

Running limit · estimate

New Delsta Flats (Abandoned Village exit) → Southern Cape Cold Snows

Southern Cape Cold Snows

Eastern Cape Cold Snows

Western Winterbloom Snows

Osvald recruitment spot, Southern Cape Cold Snows → Cape Cold

Running limit · estimate

Cape Cold · Mug

New Delsta Flats (Abandoned Village entry) → Cleric spawns

Cleric purchase → Crackridge Harbor

Crackridge Harbor encounter

Eastern Cropdale Trail entry → Cropdale

Cropdale · Agnea recruitment

Cropdale → Eastern Cropdale Trail → Southern Cropdale Trail

Southern Cropdale Trail entry → Southern Oresrush Wilds

Oresrush · after Mother’s route starts

Southern Oresrush Wilds return → Northern Ryu Sands

Northern Ryu Sands entry → Ryu

Hikari recruitment

Canalbrine Bridge · first water encounter

Northern Conning Creek Coast

Western Conning Creek Coast

Conning Creek → Harbor

Eastern New Delsta Highroad → Arkar

Southern Clockbank Highroad → Clockbank

Clockbank: Industrial District · after Clockite delivery

Crackridge Harbor · after Clockite delivery

Southern Crackridge Wilds

Western Crackridge Wilds · before Crackridge

Western Crackridge Wilds · after Crackridge

Western Gravell Wilds · night

Detailed log

First battle

Damage-less?

Checkpoint

Second fight

Only one enemy action?

Mansion encounter

After Pirro

Highroad Escape

New Delsta Flats

Harbor → Flats

Flats escape

Abandoned Village return

Recruit Osvald

Cape Cold

RNG checkpoints

Party after battle

Second fight · Chapter 1

Pirro · Chapter 1

Early clerics → Osvald → first Southern Cape Cold Snows encounter

Eastern Cape Cold Snows · after loading

Party after rare victory

Winterbloom · after night switch

Southern Cropdale Trail entry → Southern Oresrush Wilds

Oresrush · Mother route, Partitio recruitment and Southern return

Northern Ryu Sands entry → Ryu

Hikari · recruited, Chapter 1 skipped

Throné · Scholar and Evasive Maneuvers equipped

Ryu → Northern Ryu Sands → Canalbrine Bridge

Conning Creek Coasts → Conning Creek

Canalbrine Bridge · water encounter and Escape

First Abandoned Village visit · fork endpoint

Cape Cold · Mug

Clerics → New Delsta Harbor (day) → Crackridge Harbor

The next encounter